ideas


audio record chapter summaries.

create cloze deletions on pocket for audio.

listen to audio blogs every night before sleep to dream about subjects.

make sticky notes on shower.

sticky notes on window around edges?


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Fed keeps wiggle room on rates No matter how hard the Federal Reserve has tried to give itself room for manoeuvre on monetary policy, by decision time that flexibility has become more limited. That is the view of central bank-watchers in the weeks since the Fed reduced its benchmark interest rate for only the second time since the financial crisis. It is widely expected to cut again at its October 30 meeting, but US central bank officials have gone to great lengths to brace investors for a pause following that cut — barring a dismal turn in the economic data. Investors have so far accepted this reality, with the odds of another rate reduction in December modest at 30 per cent, according to Fed funds futures contracts compiled by CME Group. But should investors ramp up their expectations for another interest rate cut later this year, the Fed could very well find itself pressured into action once more, or risk sparking a market sell-off. In the days before the Fed’s so-called “black...
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What probability do you give that there might be a new financial crisis? This month, the number crunchers at Oxford Economics, a research group, asked 162 global businesses this question. Their average answer was 20 per cent over the next two years. That is twice as high as the perceived risk of a second global wave of the Covid-19 pandemic and also, sadly, the probability of an early effective vaccine arriving.  These fears already have tangible consequences: they pushed down business sentiment more in this month’s Oxford survey than hard data justified. “Our analysis suggests that financial crisis fears account for much of the gloom,” said Jamie Thompson, the poll’s lead economist. This should concern investors, although not because a financial crisis is likely to explode right now — at least not in the headline-grabbing style of 2008. At least two factors mitigate that risk.  First, the US Federal Reserve and other central banks have made it clear that they will do “whatever it...
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